Ever been in a room full of smart people asked a question?
It’s not hard for them to come up with a bunch of perfectly sensible, rational answers founded on prejudice and assumption experience and logic. Reasonable and rational propositions abound but crucially, they’re often not founded on evidence.
It’s pretty much how it seems some financial reporting works. Revenue was down 4% this quarter due to :
- the weather was [hotter/wetter/colder/windier], so people didn’t behave normally
- the [insert sports event here] took place which distracted people
- competitors launched a new ad campaign
- the planets weren’t in alignment
- etc, etc.
Some, none or all of them may be true but as they say, correlation is not causation.
This post about discussing challenge and direction on The Lean Thinker blog, highlights a great use of reframing to get round this problem.
Mark describes how a well-meaning manager keeps asking one of his people “How can we reduce the overtime”. Continue reading →